Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Giving the Devil His Due

It is almost painful for me to say this....kudos to the Boston Red Sox. Ugh, I suddenly feel so dirty.

I have to give credit where credit is due though. In the last week, Red Sox GM Theo Epstein made the kind of shrewd, under-the-radar moves that help teams win championships. After the hoopla and fanfare surrounding the blockbuster signings by the Yankees, the Hot Stove cooled down just a bit. People took this time to reflect on the changing landscape of the AL East with CC, AJ, and Tex all donning Pinstripes. The Rays responded by signing Pat Burrell to beef up their power from the right side of the plate, and Joe Nelson to sure up the bullpen. The Red Sox did....nothing.

Fans and sports writers alike wondered what would Boston do? What COULD Boston do in response to the moves by the Yankees? There were no blockbuster free agents left, and even if there were, how could they possibly match what the Yankees had accomplished with their big 3 acquisitions?

Then last week it was announced that the Red Sox had reached a 1 year deal with Brad Penny for $5 million. A man who only made 17 starts last year because of injuries, and compiled a 6-9 record with a 6.27 ERA. The Sox then signed Rocco Baldelli for 1 year and $500,000. Baldelli has been hampered by injuries throughout his career. Last year he was diagnosed with a mitochondrial disorder that tires his body out very quickly after physical exertion. He managed to come back for the Rays' stretch and playoff run last season. The busy Red Sox then signed 38 year old Takashi Saito for 1 year and 1.5 million. Saito was the Dodgers closer over the last couple of seasons until midway through this past season when his arm began to give him problems and he was eventually forced into a closer platoon because he couldn't handle the workload. The final move was announced yesterday when the Sox completed their 1 year, $5.5 million deal with lifelong Atlanta Brave John Smoltz, who missed most of last season because of arm problems.

At first glance it looks like the Red Sox were picking up bodies off of the scrap heap at a bargain price. The kind of moves a low budget, flailing organization makes in order to try and lend some "credibility" and name recognition to its team. But the Red Sox aren't exactly a low budget, floundering organization. Put these guys on an already well built team, and they suddenly become low risk, very high reward commodities that could pay huge dividends now and in the future.

Here's a rundown of what each could bring to the table for the Sox:

1) Brad Penny: Despite his troubles last season, Penny has been, at times, a dominant starting pitcher, winning 16 games in both 2006 and 2007 for the Dodgers. And as an added bonus, he was one of the young starting pitchers that helped the Marlins beat the Yankees in the 2003 World Series. If he can recover from his injury and get back to where he was in '06 and '07 he slots in as an extremely dangerous number 4 starter for the Red Sox. He's only 30 years old and there is little reason to believe that he can't bounce back, and if he does, it may allow Epstein to trade one of his young starting pitchers for a good starting catcher, which the Sox desperately need now that Jason Varitek is finished in Beantown.

2) Rocco Baldelli: Baldelli effectively becomes the Red Sox 4th outfielder. Early in his career with the Rays, Baldelli was being touted as one of the next great stars of baseball. He was drawing comparisons to Joe DiMaggio, though that may have been due in part to his name and ethnic background. Joking aside though, the kid could play. He was a frightening blend of power and speed. His average always hovering around .300. David Wright comes to mind when you think of comparable numbers.

Then the injuries began. He simply couldn't stay healthy. When he was diagnosed with the mitochondrial disorder it looked as if his career might be over. He worked hard though to get healthy again, and was used delicately in the Rays stretch run this year, showing some of the same potential he had on display at the beginning of his career.

Now the Red Sox will use him in that same delicate manner. He will be there to spell one of the 3 starting outfielders and can be a great player off of the bench. If he is able to stay healthy he becomes an excellent back-up who would be a starter on any other team. And if he isn't able to stay healthy, well, no matter, he wasn't one of the 3 starters anyway.

3) Takashi Saito: He may be the most under-the-radar of the 4 of them. You can immediately slot him into the 8th inning in front of Jonathan Papelbon. He will share that inning with lefty specialist Hideki Okajima. In doing so they will relieve Saito of the heavy workload of a closer and be able to use him as a dominant 8th inning option. Even in a season in which he had arm problems, Saito was able to put up a 2.49 ERA and save 18 games. This could turn out to be a scary good move for the Red Sox.

4) John Smoltz: Smoltz seems to be the biggest question mark. We all know his track record, but last year he was only able to make 5 starts before he had to pack it in for the season because of major arm trouble. This is the second time in his career that Smoltz has had to deal with a serious arm problem. He turns 42 this year and one has to wonder how much he has left. But you can never question Smoltz's abilities though. If he is able to regain even a modicum of the success he has had over his illustrious career he can be a dominant #5 option in the starting rotation, or even become another excellent set-up man for Papelbon. Whether he can get completely healthy remains to be seen, but with all the pieces that the Sox already have in place, this is a very low risk signing.

So kudos to you Theo. You have shown once again why you are one of the best GM's in baseball.....and now that I've said that, I think I need to take a shower.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Hey Mike,
I'm going to have to spend a long time in the shower and probably have to spend time in therapy with some spiritual leaders cleansing myself after this. Here goes. This may show the biggest gap between the Yankees and the R@# $%x organizations at the moment. The S@x are back filling their roster with quality players and the Yanks are rebuilding on the fly. In other words the two organizations have changed their traditional roles, at least for the time being.
Not only are the S@x deeper, but after getting rid of Manny, they have no contracts that are above market value. This will allow them to move any player to make a deal to improve their team. While I like what the Yanks have done this off season, there are about eight contracts that are not tradeable to all but the richest teams in the sport or Jim Bowden. Should one or more of these contracts (players) tank, they are stuck. See Carl Pavano or Matsui's current trade value. I believe this has been part of Theo Epstein's plan from the start. Theo's plan is let free agents like Pedro, Damon and others walk if they won't sign at their terms, collect draft picks and scout better than every other team.
The S@x acquisitions remind me of how the Yankees were able to pick up Cecil Fielder, Daryl Strawberry, Tim Raines, John Wettland, El Duque, Chili Davis and other contributors to the 96-00 teams that performed so well when they were winning championships.
-Bob